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AlphaFold3 and Intrinsically Disordered Proteins: Reliable Monomer Prediction, Unpredictable Multimer Performance

INVESTOR TAKEAWAY

AlphaFold3 represents a major advance in protein structure prediction, yet its performance on intrinsically disordered proteins remains uncharacterized. We present the first systematic evaluation of AF3 on disordered systems, revealing a striking dichotomy.

ORIGINAL PAPER

AlphaFold3 and Intrinsically Disordered Proteins: Reliable Monomer Prediction, Unpredictable Multimer Performance

WHAT WE KNOW

For monomers, AF3's pLDDT scores reliably predict disorder (MCC: 0. 693), matching AlphaFold2 and rivaling dedicated predictors. This consistency across fundamentally different architectures confirms that disorder prediction emerges from training data, not model design.

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